Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Clinical Epidemiology's content profile, based on 28 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Das, P.; Schneider, J.; Mayo-Wilson, E.; Kilicoglu, H.; Menke, J. D.; Nam, D.; Ninan, K.; Oberste, J.-P.; Troy, A. M.; Ying, X.; Holt, A. W.; Smalheiser, N. R.
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Objectives: Study design indexing of biomedical publications is crucial for evidence retrieval and synthesis. We sought to evaluate the accuracy and suitability of a transformer-based model (TM) for indexing clinical study designs, in comparison to National Library of Medicine (NLM) indexing. However, this is challenging for at least three reasons: First, to date, all automated systems have been trained and evaluated on manual NLM indexing assignments, itself subject to errors. Second, TM's probabilistic predictive scores take into account uncertainty, and can be converted to TRUE/FALSE assignments in different ways depending on the needs of users, while NLM labels are categorical. Third, our goal (to tag articles only that exhibit a given design) differs from NLM which tags articles that both discuss as well as exhibit that design. Materials and Methods: Therefore, we carried out a limited evaluation of the TM model that focuses only on the articles that received the most confident predictions, that is, the highest scores that are almost certainly TRUE and the lowest scores that are almost certainly FALSE, but which disagreed with NLM assignments. This was performed both for articles published in 2016 (when NLM decisions were manual) and in 2025 (when NLM decisions were automated). To establish ground truth, dual annotators indexed the articles independently, following written definitions, for four prominent study designs--cohort, case-control, cross-sectional, and case report. Results: For three designs (case-control, case report, cross-sectional), the articles having the top 100 predictive TM scores (when NLM failed to assign that design) were judged to exhibit that design in the great majority (86-100%) of cases. Conversely, the articles having the lowest 100 predictive TM scores (when NLM did assign the study design) exhibited the design only in relatively few (0-21%) of cases. The most confident predictions of the TM model were highly accurate and not redundant with automated NLM indexing; the exception was cohort studies articles, in which both TM and NLM labels showed high error rates of both omission and commission. Discussion and Conclusion: TM may have value for identifying articles exhibiting study designs, which is especially important for clinical decision-making as well as systematic reviews and other evidence syntheses. NLM indexing of cohort studies cannot be regarded as a reliable gold standard for training or evaluation of automated systems, warranting efforts to create a new manually annotated corpus.
Pears, M.; Wadhwa, K.; Payne, S. R.; Konstantinidis, S. T. H.; Biyani, C. S.
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Large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT are rapidly reshaping healthcare education and simulation-based training in non-technical skills (NTS), yet no bibliometric analysis has mapped this landscape. We searched seven open-access databases (OpenAlex, PubMed, Europe PMC, Crossref, Semantic Scholar, CORE, DOAJ) for English-language publications from January 2020 to March 2026. From 100,277 initial records, a sequential keyword funnel yielded 830 candidate papers, which were screened by 83 independent Claude Sonnet 4.6 AI agents applying pre-specified inclusion criteria (PRISMA-trAIce compliant; Cohen's kappa = 0.86 pre-reconciliation, 1.0 post-reconciliation). The final AI-verified corpus comprised 551 papers with a compound annual growth rate of 109%, contributions from 2,398 authors across 279 journals in 58 countries, and an h-index of 41. ChatGPT dominated the model landscape (46% of papers), with open-source models virtually absent. Virtual patient chatbots were the leading simulation modality (106 papers). Among NTS domains, communication (145 papers) and decision-making (135 papers) were most studied, whereas teamwork, leadership, situational awareness, and crisis resource management were markedly underrepresented. Only 6 urology-relevant papers were identified, none examining LLM integration within boot camp training formats. The field is growing at extraordinary pace but remains concentrated in a narrow range of NTS domains and a single proprietary model. Critical gaps persist in team-based skills training, open-source model evaluation, and specialty-specific simulation. AI-assisted bibliometric screening using multiple independent agents is feasible, reliable, and scalable, offering a replicable methodology for mapping fast-evolving research fields.
Madison, M.; Wheaton, L. A.; Rowe, V.
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Background: Occupational therapists can improve stroke survivors hand and arm movement and participation in daily activities through action observation (AO). AO involves watching another persons hand or arm complete a movement or task. While research generally supports the use of AO with stroke survivors, there are limited AO videos are available to occupational therapists which makes applying AO challenging. Objective: The purpose of this work is to develop structured and widely accessible tool to support access to AO for stroke survivors, occupational therapists, and researchers. Methods: To develop an AO video library for stroke rehabilitation, functional and non-functional upper limb task deficits were first identified through clinical observations and clinician interviews to establish a prioritized list of daily activities. In collaboration with media production specialists, healthy adult volunteers were recruited and filmed performing these tasks from both first- and third-person perspectives. The recorded videos were then systematically edited, enhanced with instructional title slides, and distributed via a public YouTube channel for clinical application and a categorized digital repository for research purposes. Results: Initial assessments revealed a complete lack of familiarity, awareness, and utilization of AO resources among local occupational therapists, despite high perceived clinical utility. To address this gap, a final library of 150 tasks was established, resulting in the production of 419 finalized, standardized videos featuring six healthy volunteers. For clinical application, these videos were hosted on a free, public YouTube channel organized into 18 functional playlists, while a parallel set was structured into distinct movement categories for research repository storage. Conclusion: By providing a structured and highly accessible tool, this repository enables clinicians, researchers, and caregivers to readily implement evidence-based action observation interventions in both clinical and home settings.
Badmos, A. O.; AbdulKareem, A. O.; Mills, J.; Gawne, A.; Idris, T.
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Introduction: Blackpool, England's most deprived local authority, has the highest drug-related death rate in the country. People in police custody with problem substance use are a key Core20PLUS5 inclusion-health group, yet referral from the police into structured drug and alcohol treatment is fragmented and relies heavily on self-report. We evaluated the current police-to-treatment route in Blackpool and designed an evidence-informed unified pathway. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods service evaluation and pathway-design project was conducted during a six-month General Practice / Public Health rotation. Routinely collected referral data from Horizon (the local specialist drug and alcohol service) covering the 47-month period from December 2019 to October 2023 were analysed. Findings were triangulated with national policy, the Project ADDER and Liaison and Diversion evaluations, and the international evidence on police-led pre-arrest diversion. Results: Of 5,900 total referrals into Horizon over 47 months, only 269 (4.56%) originated from the police. Police referrals accounted for fewer than 5% of monthly referrals in 30 of 47 months, for 5 to 9.9% in 16 months, and for >/= 10% in only one month (10.8%, December 2022). Blackpool recorded 76 drug-misuse deaths in 2019-21 (19.4 per 100,000, approximately four times the England rate). A six-step unified pathway is proposed: Initiate Referral (opt-out, from ADDER Police and Liaison and Diversion); Initial Assessment; Tailored Treatment Plan; Continuous Support; Collaboration and Monitoring; and Evaluation and Adjustment. Conclusions: Police contact is markedly under-used as a gateway to treatment despite Blackpool having the highest drug-related mortality in England. An opt-out, multi-agency pathway anchored in Core20PLUS5 has the potential to narrow the treatment gap, reduce re-offending, and address the structural health inequalities that drive premature mortality.
Musholt, T. J.; Clerici, T.; Bergenfelz, A.; Schmidt, C. O.; Struckmann, S.
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Background: Medical registries have gained importance in the evaluation of healthcare quality outcomes. In the absence of high-quality evidence, such as randomized controlled trials, studies based on registry data are essential for informing clinical guidelines. Methods for assessing data quality are rarely described in detail. To ensure the credibility of registry-based studies, registries must use all available technical and operational means to guarantee high data quality. Method: Eurocrine(R) is a pan-European endocrine surgical database and quality registry initially funded by the EU healthcare programme, which started in 2015 and now includes more than 200,000 interventions as of April 2025. To ensure high data quality, interactive and standardized reports are created via Microsoft Power BI, which are created both centrally and locally. In addition, comprehensive data quality analyses were performed via the R-based package dataquieR. Results: Although a multitude of technical measures (for example, input screen design and real-time plausibility checks during data entry) are in place, they are not sufficient to prevent human errors at data entry. Errors identified in the reports were corrected, and preventive measures were implemented. Overall, the data quality was assessed as very good in terms of completeness, accuracy, and consistency. Conclusion: It is very important to provide registry users with an efficient and smart tool to identify data issues, as they have the clinical information to correct them. Data quality reports generated with dataquieR represent an effective tool for registry administrators. Predesigned Microsoft Power BI reports enable participating Eurocrine(R) clinics to self-audit their data.
Osborne, T.; Mahmud, T.; Zheng, X.; Jampala, S.; Abbasi, S.; Hong, S.; Kranz, K.; Lee, S.; Ng, P.; Odekon, K.; Schachter, L.; Sexton, R.; Spinnato, T.; Tharakan, M.; Wu, Z.; Wang, F.; Wong, R.
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Although large language models (LLMs) have shown promise for discharge summary generation, their value may be greater in longer hospitalizations, where increasing documentation volume and complexity increase both clinician burden and the risk of communication failures during transitions of care. Prior evaluations of LLM-generated discharge summaries have largely involved shorter stays and have rarely examined receiving-clinician priorities or incidental finding reporting. We compared LLM-generated and human-authored discharge summaries for 60 Internal Medicine hospitalizations lasting 7 to 21 days, with paired assessment by hospitalists and primary care physicians (PCPs). Clinician reviewers preferred LLM-generated summaries for 95% of encounters and rated them higher for quality, readability, factuality and completeness. PCPs, the primary recipients responsible for post-discharge care, found that LLM-generated summaries were better for understanding and communicating hospital care to patients, and providing follow-up care. LLM-generated summaries had fewer annotated errors, primarily due to fewer omissions, without increased estimated harm potential or likelihood compared with human-authored summaries. Benefits of LLM-generated summaries were especially salient for PCPs, who identified more omissions with greater downstream likelihood of harm than hospitalists. This underscores the importance of designing transition documents around the needs of clinicians assuming care post-discharge. LLM identification of radiology incidental findings was generally accurate and appropriate, suggesting potential to improve follow-up of clinically relevant findings. These findings extend prior work by demonstrating clinical value of LLMs in summarizing longer, complex hospitalizations and highlighting the value of stakeholder-centered design in clinical AI systems. Together, they support supervised LLM-assisted discharge summarization as a tool to reduce cognitive burden, improve documentation quality, and enhance transition-of-care communication.
gahan, k.
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Abstract Background. Area-level cancer disparities are routinely estimated from public county data in which rates based on small counts (fewer than 16 cases or deaths) are suppressed. Analysts typically drop suppressed counties (complete-case analysis). Because suppression depends on case counts tied to population size and demographic composition, this missingness may be informative, but its effect on the disparity estimate has not, to our knowledge, been quantified. Methods. In a cross-sectional ecological study of 3,143 U.S. counties (analytic sample 3,018 with computable exposure) using one frozen public release of NCI State Cancer Profiles incidence and mortality data and ACS 2018-2022 5-year data, we estimated the most- versus least-deprived ICE(race+income) quintile rate ratio (RR) and rate difference for female breast, stomach, and cervix cancers under four suppression-handling methods: complete-case, available-case, bounding, and model-based small-area estimation. We characterized which counties were erased, and, following the ADEMP framework, ran a Monte Carlo simulation (1,000 replicates per cell; Monte Carlo standard error of bias approximately 0.0025) calibrated to the release to measure bias against a known truth. Analyses were pre-registered. Results. The suppressed fraction rose with rarity: 7.4% of counties for breast, 61.3% for stomach, and 75.7% for cervix incidence. Suppression was concentrated in the most-deprived quintile (cervix, 81.8% suppressed vs 63.8% least-deprived) and overwhelmingly removed rural rather than minority residents (cervix: 81% of the rural but 9% of the minority population erased). For breast (little suppression) the RR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.89) and identical across methods; for cervix incidence the complete-case RR (1.56) exceeded the model-based estimate (1.50), and for cervix mortality (91% suppressed) complete-case (1.86) exceeded model-based (1.56) by 16% with a wide bounding interval (1.88-2.62). In calibrated simulation, population-weighted complete-case bias was small (less than 2%) at the observed deprivation-county-size correlation and grew with rarity, threshold, and unweighted aggregation; its direction was conditional, becoming positive (over-estimation) as deprived counties became smaller. Conclusions. Complete-case handling of suppressed counties over-estimates rare-cancer area disparities relative to methods that retain them, while silently erasing most of the rural and most-deprived communities the estimate is meant to represent. The effect is negligible for common cancers and grows with rarity. Public-data disparity analyses should report the suppressed fraction and use bounded or model-based estimates by default. Keywords: cancer disparities; small-count suppression; Index of Concentration at the Extremes; informative missingness; small-area estimation; rural health.
Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.
Uppal, A.; Thomas, R.; De Pasquale, M.; Sillo, J.; Getahun, H.
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Background: The Universal Periodic Review (UPR) is a peer-review mechanism established to hold UN Member States accountable for human rights including the right to health, yet evidence on its impact on health outcomes is limited. We evaluated whether UPR engagement is associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories. Methods and Findings: We conducted a longitudinal ecological analysis of 89 countries with a baseline maternal mortality ratio (MMR) of 70 or greater per 100,000 live births in 2005. Outcomes were trajectories of annual MMR, skilled birth attendance (SBA), and contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR), from 2005 to 2023. The exposure was the volume of health-related UPR recommendations received across three cycles, thematically classified using a validated rule-based algorithm. Mixed-effects models adjusted for time-varying GDP per capita and historical fragility. The 89 countries received 41,733 UPR recommendations across three cycles, of which 405 (1%) were related to maternal health. Maternal health recommendations were preferentially directed at countries with higher baseline MMR and lower SBA. After adjustment, each additional maternal health recommendation was associated with a 0.24% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08, 0.40] faster annual reduction in MMR, a 0.52% [0.12, 0.91] faster annual gain in the odds of SBA, and a 0.21% [0.09, 0.34] faster annual gain in the odds of CPR. Broader recommendations on women's health and health systems and services were also associated with faster annual improvements in trajectories across all three outcomes; recommendations on abortion, family planning, sexual health and wellbeing, and sexual education tended to be directed towards lower-burden countries and were not associated with differences in any trajectories. It is important to note that the ecological design precludes causal inference. Conclusions: Receiving UPR recommendations on the themes of maternal health, womens health, and health systems and services are associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories among high-burden countries. These findings suggest that international human rights accountability mechanisms may have a role in supporting national progress on maternal health.
Kalamkarian, A.; Pilkington, R. M.; Lynch, J.; Mittinty, M. N.; Malvaso, C.; Hawkins, K.; Pharo, H.; Beck, K.; Chittleborough, C. R.
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Background: Whole-population linked administrative data platforms provide an opportunity to generate evidence on early life multidimensional disadvantage to inform resourcing and service provision to families with complex needs. Methods: We used individual-level de-identified data from nine administrative data sources included in the Better Evidence Better Outcomes Linked Data (BEBOLD) platform. The population included all children born in South Australia between 2004-2011 (n=143,083), and their parents. We described the prevalence and distribution of multiple disadvantages affecting children from the 12 months before birth to age 5. Eleven domains of parental disadvantage were created: economic, education, access to services, mental health, substance misuse, smoking during pregnancy, domestic and family violence, health, child protection contact, justice system contact, and death. We investigated the concordance of our measure with an area-level socioeconomic measure used in government reporting. Results: One in two children (48%) were exposed to at least one disadvantage domain, and one in seven (14%) were exposed to three or more domains before age five. Economic disadvantage was most prevalent, affecting one in four (27%) children, of which 75% were exposed to additional forms of disadvantage. Substance misuse, domestic and family violence, and justice system contact were the least likely domains to occur in isolation. Only 54.4% who experienced five or more disadvantage domains were classified in the area-level socioeconomic measure's 'most disadvantaged' quintile. Conclusion: Early life exposure to parental disadvantage can be highly multidimensional. Measurement across different systems is important for informing coordinated service provision for families with complex needs.
Gharibyan, I.; Ahner, E.; Shao, R.; Sharma, D.; Navarsartian Tazehkand, T.; Diep, J.; Assoumou, B.
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Background: Statins are key to preventing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and cardiovascular events. However, skepticism regarding their safety and value persists and is increasingly influenced by social media. TikTok has emerged as a major source of health information, but its content varies in quality and accuracy. This study evaluated the quality, attitudes, misinformation, and engagement of statin-related content on TikTok. Methods: Public TikTok videos were collected using predefined search terms and coded by creator type, thematic content, and overall attitude. Video quality was assessed using the DISCERN instrument, the Patient Education Materials Assessment Tool for Audiovisual Materials, and the Global Quality Score. False or misleading claims were independently reviewed by two cardiology fellows. Associations between engagement and quality were also examined. Results: Of 1,349 screened videos, 258 met inclusion criteria. Most were educational (91.0%), with non-physician healthcare providers (34.5%) as the largest creator group. Risks or negative effects were discussed more often than benefits (63.2% vs 42.2%), and 39.5% contained at least one false or misleading claim, most often from complementary and alternative medicine providers and wellness promoters. Quality differed by creator type across all instruments, with physician-created content scoring highest. Video popularity showed minimal association with informational quality. Conclusion: Statin-related TikTok content frequently emphasizes harms, often contains misinformation, and varies substantially in quality by creator type. Greater involvement of healthcare professionals on social media may help improve digital health literacy and counter misleading information about statin therapy.
Benning, L.; Hirsch, A.; Groeschel, M.; Roeschl, T.; Spott, M.; Hans, F. P.; Urban, T.; Busch, H.-J.; Meyer, A.; Madrid, J.
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Background Emergency department (ED) triage is a high-stakes clinical decision process that determines patient prioritization and resource allocation under time pressure. Large language models (LLMs) have recently been proposed as decision-support tools for triage, yet most evaluations rely on simulated scenarios or curated datasets. Evidence from real-world clinical environments remains limited. The objective of this project was to systematically evaluate the performance, calibration, and reproducibility of multiple contemporary large language models for Emergency Severity Index (ESI) classification and sectoral allocation (ED vs. urgent care practice, UCP) using a comprehensive real-world triage dataset. Material and Methods Retrospective cross-sectional benchmarking study conducted at a tertiary academic emergency ED in Germany with an integrated central point of assessment (CPA). The study included all consecutive adult walk-in encounters (>18 years) presenting between October 2023 and February 2024 (N = 16,107). Data were collected from a structured clinical decision support system capturing presenting complaints, vital signs, and triage decisions recorded by specialized nursing staff. Structured clinical variables routinely collected at triage, including presenting complaint categories (CEDIS-PCL), vital signs according to the ABCDE framework, and additional structured or free-text clinical information. Results The primary outcome was the agreement between LLM-predicted and nurse-assigned ESI levels measured using quadratic-weighted Cohen's k. Secondary outcomes included sectoral assignment agreement, misclassification patterns (over- and under-triage), calibration metrics, and output reproducibility. Quadratic-weighted k values ranged from 0.18 to 0.75 across models. Only a structured stepwise prompting strategy achieved substantial agreement (k_qw = 0.747), approaching reported human inter-rater reliability. Most models demonstrated moderate or lower agreement and systematic overconfidence, with expected calibration errors (ECE) based on verbalized confidence ranging from 0.099 to 0.355. Sectoral assignment agreement (i.e. ED vs. urgent care practice, UCP) was uniformly low (k < 0.30). Reproducibility testing revealed substantial variability in 23% of cases, indicating non-deterministic output behavior for clinically relevant decisions. Conclusions Current large language models demonstrate heterogeneous and generally limited performance in real-world emergency triage tasks. Structured algorithm-guided prompting appears more influential than model architecture or size. Before clinical implementation, improvements in calibration, reliability, and workflow integration are required, alongside regulatory-compliant validation in prospective clinical settings.
Komolafe, O. O.; Roberts, A. C.; Shelley, J.; Tawiah, A. K.
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High-quality, domain-specific datasets are foundational to advancing educational tools and AI systems in healthcare, yet assembling case repositories from real-world clinical records faces substantial privacy, ethical, and licensing barriers. Synthetic data generation offers a compelling pathway forward, but educational cases require rigorous validation to ensure clinical plausibility and pedagogical utility. This pilot study introduces PhysiCase, a dual-layer validation pipeline for synthetic case generation and evaluates the feasibility of combining automated LLM-based screening with expert educator review. We generated 128 synthetic musculoskeletal(MSK) cases using four frontier large language models (GPT-4.1, GPT-4o, Google Gemini 2.5 Pro, and Llama 4 Scout) across 28 clinical conditions. Cases underwent automated quality screening using an "LLM-as-judge" framework (DeepEval) assessing prompt alignment, JSON correctness, answer relevance, bias, toxicity, and completeness. Ninety cases (70.3%) passed automated filtering and proceeded to expert evaluation by four MSK physiotherapy educators, who rated medical accuracy, realism, fidelity, relevance, and usability on 5-point Likert scales. GPT-4.1 demonstrated the highest automated pass rate (96\%) and strongest expert ratings (medical accuracy 4.10/5, usability 4.38/5), while Llama 4 Scout showed the lowest pass rate (33.3%) and expert ratings. Expert-evaluated cases achieved strong content validity indices for usability (97.5%), relevance (97.5%), and realism (95%), though medical accuracy showed greater variance (CVI 87.5%). Cross-layer correlation analysis revealed that automated completeness metrics moderately aligned with expert usability ratings , while answer relevance and prompt alignment showed weak or negative correlations with clinical correctness. Qualitative analysis identified three primary failure modes: reductive logic, biomechanical inconsistency, and administrative/contextual gaps. The dual-layer validation framework proved methodologically viable: automated screening efficiently reduced expert review burden, while human judgment remained indispensable for detecting subtle clinical reasoning failures. LLM-generated synthetic cases has the potential to meet practical educational needs for MSK physiotherapy, but expert validation is essential to safeguard clinical accuracy. These findings support a scalable division of labour for synthetic case development, with targeted improvements to prompting and automated reasoning checks needed to address identified "nuance gaps." The code for this paper is available on https://github.com/kwid-ai/PhysiCase
Kosola, S.; Salonen, S.; Miettinen, J.; Horhammer, I.; Impio, A.-R.; Kumpulainen, S. M.; Sergejeff, J.; Numari, S.; Laitinen-Parkkonen, P.; Tapola-Haapala, M.; Aaltio, E.; Thorn, L.
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Introduction Education is a core social determinant of health for children and adolescents. Unfortunately, academic achievement, health, and wellbeing of adolescents have decreased in many developed countries in the past decade. The purpose of the Wellbeing and Education linkages in school-aged children (WELL-ED) study is to examine associations of school absences and academic achievement with use of school-based and community-based health and social welfare services. In addition, we will assess user experiences and multi-sector services pathways of school-aged children for a better understanding of how the service system could respond to the needs of children. Methods and analysis WELL-ED is a large population-based study that combines register data on school absences and educational support from municipalities with register data on healthcare and social service use collected from wellbeing services counties in Finland. The study cohort includes all children who attended mandatory education in public schools in Southern Finland in school year 2023-2024. A smaller cohort of adolescents in school year 8 was invited to complete a user experience survey. The primary outcomes of this study are related to equity of service use. Ethics and dissemination The Regional Committee on Medical Research Ethics of the Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District (2803/2024) has approved the WELL-ED study protocol. For the survey, adolescents in year 8 and parents of adolescents younger than 15 provided informed consent. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals, summaries will be sent to participating municipalities and wellbeing services counties and press releases will be written on key findings.
Tredget, G.; Milenova, M.; Parkash, R.; McGrath, R.; Edwards, M. J.; Gee, S.; Pigg, W.; Karwacki, D.; Costa, C.; Shafique, S.; Adams, M.; Waghorn, J.; I'Anson, D.; Ronaldson, A.; Haire, K.; Githuku, C.; Beveridge, E.; Williams, J.
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Background: Adults with severe mental health conditions (often referred to as severe mental illness, SMI) experience 15 to 20 year mortality gap relative to the general population, with lung cancer a significant contributor. National cancer policy targets earlier diagnosis but does not explicitly address how pathways function for this group. Aims: This study aimed to describe lung cancer risk, prevalence, screening eligibility, referral activity and diagnostic pathway performance for adults with SMI in South East London (SEL), and to examine where along the pathway inequalities arise. Methods: Co-designed with experts with lived experience and voluntary sector, this exploratory mixed-methods service evaluation combined quantitative analysis of routinely collected data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF), SMI Register and Cancer Waiting Times Record (April 2023-March 2024) with semi-structured qualitative interviews (n=11 clinical staff) and focus groups (n=6 adults with lived experience of SMI). Quantitative and qualitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and framework-based thematic analysis respectively, and findings were integrated using a joint display approach, organised by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). Results: Lung cancer prevalence was approximately double among adults with SMI (0.17% vs 0.09% in the general population). Despite Urgent Suspected Cancer (USC) referral rates being more than twice as high in the SMI population (63 vs 28 per 100,000), fewer cancers were detected via planned general practice (GP) routes (11% vs 20%), the 28-day Faster Diagnosis Standard was not met for any SMI patient diagnosed with lung cancer during the study period; overall FDS performance was 76% in the SMI population compared with 84% in the general population; and appointment non-attendance was more than double that in the general population (6% vs 3%). Qualitative findings identified individual, service and system-level mechanisms, including stigma, diagnostic overshadowing, fragmented coordination, and rigid pathway protocols, that compound disadvantage across lung cancer pathway stages. Conclusions: Inequality in lung cancer outcomes for adults with SMI accumulates across the pathway rather than arising at a single point of failure. Addressing this requires proportionate adaptations within existing cancer pathways, alongside routine reporting of cancer outcomes stratified by SMI population. Keywords: severe mental health conditions, lung cancer, health inequalities, cancer screening, diagnostic pathway, mixed methods
Leung, K. Y.; Miura, F.; Backer, J. A.
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Background Differential contributions to transmission across age groups have been reported for many respiratory infections, including SARS-CoV-2. They are crucial for estimating the impact of age-specific interventions. Disentangling these age-dependent contributions remains challenging, as they may reflect differences in contact rates, biological susceptibility, or infectiousness. Aim We aim to jointly estimate age-specific per-contact infectiousness and susceptibility and their effect on the impact of age-specific interventions. Methods The age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility were jointly estimated in a Bayesian framework by combining contact data with transmission pair data (who-infected-whom). We applied this approach to 197,840 self-reported household transmission pairs collected in the Netherlands during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using these estimates, we projected the expected impact of school closure and work-from-home measures during the early stages of an epidemic in the absence of other interventions. Results Both infectiousness and susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection were lowest in children aged 0-9 years and highest in adults over 30 years old, with 2- to 4.5-fold differences between these groups. Projected impacts of age-specific interventions indicated that school closures would reduce the reproduction number by 8% or 29% when age-specific susceptibility and infectiousness were or were not considered, respectively. Conversely, working-from-home policies would lead to reductions of 41% with and 20% without age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility. Conclusion Our method enables robust estimation of age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility. Accounting for these age heterogeneities is essential for projecting the impact of age-targeted interventions. Our approach is adaptable to other respiratory infections and can guide more tailored public health responses.
Van de Winckel, A.; Herrmann, A. A.; Carpentier, S. T.; Bottale, S.; Lopez, R. L.; Rapacz, A. D.; Larson, S. J.; Deng, W.; Zhang, L.; Hendrickson, T. J.; Mueller, B. A.; Nourian, R.; Morse, L. R.; Lim, K. O.
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Introduction: Reduced or lost sensation and movement after a spinal cord injury (SCI) impairs the brain s ability to accurately localize paralyzed body parts, causing deficits in its internal body map, or mental body representations (MBR). These deficits hinder functional recovery and contribute to neuropathic pain. Medications for neuropathic pain are often ineffective and carry side effects. Our pilot trials found that in-person Cognitive Multisensory Rehabilitation (CMR), a physical therapy restoring MBR, led to prolonged pain reduction, improved sensorimotor function, and enhanced brain function, to greater extent than adaptive fitness. To explore more accessible interventions for those in rural areas or with transportation challenges, we examined whether 12 weeks of remotely delivered CMR or exercise would (1) improve function and reduce pain; (2) increase brain activity and connectivity related to sensorimotor function and MBR in adults with SCI. Methods: Of 19 adults with SCI who consented, 15 (51+/-15 years old, 8+/-10 years post-SCI) were randomized to 12 weeks of remotely delivered CMR or exercise (45min, 3x/week). Eight reported neuropathic pain equal or greater than 3/10. The Numeric Pain Rating Scale (NPRS), ASIA Impairment Scale (AIS), and Neuromuscular Recovery Scale (NRS) assessed pain and sensorimotor function at baseline, post-intervention, and 6-month follow-up. Functional MRI included resting-state and four tasks: imagining feeling the left leg, imagining moving the left leg, whole-body movement imagery, and a sensation task. Results: After CMR (n=8), participants improved on AIS (large effect sizes: touch: d=1.30; pinprick: d=1.21; lower limb motor function: d=1.83). Exercise (n=7) produced smaller improvements (touch: d=0.35; pinprick: d=0.36; lower limb motor function: d=0.80). CMR showed greater NRS effect sizes (core: d=1.48; upper limb: d=0.69; lower limb: d=1.25) than exercise (core: d=0.31; upper limb: d=0.74; lower limb: d=0.83). Benefits persisted at follow-up for both AIS and NRS, especially in the CMR group. Highest neuropathic pain intensity decreased in both groups post-intervention (CMR: d=-0.61; exercise: d=-0.73) and at 6-month follow-up (CMR: d=-0.55; exercise: d=-0.55). Unlike previous studies, group effects for CMR were not found due to high heterogeneity. Increased task-based activation, including in the lateral occipital cortex involved in visual body perception and spatial awareness, was seen for the exercise group (n=5). Discussion: These preliminary results support the potential of remotely delivered CMR and exercise to improve function and reduce neuropathic pain in adults with SCI, highlighting the need for larger trials. Clinicaltrial.gov: NCT05870189
King, D. W.; King, P. E.; Blanchard, M. W.; Ning, N. W.; King, S. K.; Grimm, M. C.; Ha, T.; Eagar, K.
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Objective To determine if it is possible to assess individual patient risk of the development of colorectal cancer (CRC) in people in high-risk groups due to their family history. Design/Method Retrospective observational study of prospectively collected data from consecutive patients referred for a colonoscopy. 2,478 consecutive patients were referred to a single colorectal surgical practice in Sydney, Australia between 1977 and 2018 for a colonoscopy because of a family history of CRC. Of these, 1,963 have been followed for more than 10 years and are the subject of this paper. Histopathological findings categorised as normal (N), non-advanced adenoma (NAA) or advanced neoplasia (AN) with AN proven to be the precursor to CRC. Intervention Colonoscopic screening on the basis of contemporary practice to 2006 and subsequently according to Australian National Health and Medical Research Council guidelines. Results Participants with normal or low-risk findings in the first decade remain at lower risk of CRC for 30 years from the commencement of screening. Conclusion It is possible to stratify individual patients in a high relative risk cohort into those with high or low personal risk of CRC based on colonoscopic findings in the first 10 years of surveillance. Those with no AN in the first ten years have a lower 30-year risk of developing AN than the general community. This offers the possibility of structuring surveillance programs around individual risk rather than group risk, lessening the need for multiple surveillance colonoscopies in the majority of such patients and improving the cost effectiveness of CRC screening at the population level.
Mvula, M.; Amin, A.; Patil, M. S.; Valentine, G.; Mukarwego, B.; Wagner, S.; Dumbuya, I.; Lou, L.; Sanni, U.; Hansen, A.
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Background Sierra Leones neonatal mortality rate is among the highest in the world. Koidu Government Hospital opened a Special Care Baby Unit (SCBU) in 2020. To increase knowledge of the SCBU health care providers (HCPs), a neonatal curriculum was implemented to facilitate HCP education on management of neonatal conditions. The aim of this study was to understand the effect of the curriculum on knowledge acquisition and the perception of the teaching methodologies among participating HCPs. Methods US-based mentors facilitated a two-phase, flipped classroom, virtual neonatal medicine curriculum between October 2024 and April 2025, followed by one-week in-person education sessions with SCBU HCPs. With each phase, participants completed pre- and post-test educational assessments. At the end of the curriculum, they completed a subjective assessment to capture perceptions related to the quality of teaching methodologies integrated within the curriculum. Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to assess pre- versus post-test change. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the subjective assessment. Results Thirty-eight participants completed the educational assessments, 30 (79%) took all four pre- and post-tests; 25/38 (65.8%) were female, 27 (71.1%) were nurses. Median correct answers for both phases increased from the pre- to post-test for individual learners [Phase 1, pre-test 14/27 (51.9%), post-test 23/27 (85.2%), p<0.001], [Phase 2, pre-test 14/25 (56.0%), post-test 23/25 (92.0%), p <0.001]. Thirty-one participants completed the subjective assessment, of whom 96.8% (30/31) rated the curriculum to be "very effective." All 31 participants indicated that the in-person instruction was "very helpful." Through open text responses, they offered valuable insight into challenges, strengths, and next steps. Conclusion This neonatal curriculum resulted in significantly increased knowledge and was well regarded. Adapting this curriculum or similar curricula show promise to improve the quality of care for small and/or sick neonates in low resource settings.
Collier, A.
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Background Electronic health record documentation patterns may reflect workflow complexity, monitoring intensity, and operational strain in intensive care settings. However, documentation-derived features can be sensitive to local documentation culture, data capture systems, and outcome definitions. Retrospective validation across multiple datasets is therefore needed before these signals are used in workflow intelligence or clinical AI governance tools. Objective To evaluate whether documentation-density and documentation-timing features show reproducible retrospective signal for ICU workflow complexity and long-stay proxy outcomes across de-identified critical care datasets, while distinguishing workflow and long-stay associations from unsupported claims about mortality prediction, burden reduction, or deployment readiness. Methods We synthesized retrospective validation results from de-identified ICU and workflow datasets generated through a prespecified documentation-density validation program. Feature families included Documentation Burden Score style features, Shift-End Documentation Rate style features, documentation reliability style metadata, and all-documentation feature sets where available. Outcomes included long ICU length of stay proxies, mortality where available, and workflow proxy endpoints. Models compared baseline feature sets with enhanced models containing documentation-density or workflow features. Performance was summarized using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, Brier score where reported, delta AUROC, bootstrap confidence intervals where reported, and label-shuffle controls where available. Results The strongest external long-stay proxy evidence came from the NWICU chartevents analysis, which included 28,612 ICU stays, 20,267 stays with chart events, and 9,619,759 chart events. For ICU length of stay greater than the median, baseline AUROC was 0.5252. Enhanced AUROC was 0.9512 for Documentation Burden Score features, 0.9214 for Shift-End Documentation Rate features, 0.8470 for documentation reliability style features, and 0.9517 for all documentation features. Corresponding label-shuffle enhanced AUROCs were near random, ranging from 0.4897 to 0.5064. For ICU length of stay greater than the 75th percentile, baseline AUROC was 0.5155. Enhanced AUROC was 0.9433 for Documentation Burden Score features, 0.9194 for Shift-End Documentation Rate features, 0.8118 for documentation reliability style features, and 0.9427 for all documentation features, with label-shuffle enhanced AUROCs from 0.4836 to 0.4999. Additional retrospective support was observed in eICU workflow analyses, HiRID first-24-hour documentation-density analyses, MIMIC-IV HF ICU internal analyses, MIMIC-IV-Note metadata extensions, and nursing-chart or lab density proxy analyses. However, cross-institution discrimination transfer was weak without recalibration, and several analyses remained proxy validations rather than final clinical validations. Conclusions Documentation-density and documentation-timing features show promising retrospective signal for ICU workflow complexity and long-stay proxy outcomes, especially in NWICU chartevents and selected internal dataset-specific analyses. These findings support further preregistered, prospective, silent-mode validation of documentation-derived workflow intelligence. They do not establish prospective clinical performance, mortality reduction, clinician burden reduction, autonomous deterioration prediction, or deployment readiness.