Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Clinical Epidemiology's content profile, based on 28 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Obasohan, P. E.; Palmer, J.; Alderson, D.; Yu, D.; Gronne, D. T.; Roos, E. M.; Skou, S. T.; Peat, G. M.
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ObjectiveUnlike several other fields of healthcare, little is known about the size of therapist effects on patient outcomes following rehabilitation for musculoskeletal conditions. We aimed to estimate the proportion of variance in patient outcomes from a structured rehabilitation program explained by therapist effects. MethodsFor our observational cohort study we accessed data from the national multicentre Good Life with osteoArthritis in Denmark (GLA:D) osteoarthritis management program. Analyses included 23,021 consecutive eligible adults with hip or knee osteoarthritis (mean (SD) age 65.0 (9.8) years, 71% female) treated by 657 therapists between October 2014 and February 2019. The primary outcome was [≥]30% reduction in pain intensity on 0-100 VAS at 3 months. Therapist effects were estimated as the variance partition coefficient (intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC)) from two-level random intercept logistic regression models before and after adjusting for patient-level case-mix factors and therapist-level characteristics (number of patients treated, days since therapist certification). Analyses were repeated for a range of secondary outcomes using multiply imputed data and complete-case analysis. Results52% of patients reported a [≥]30% reduction in pain intensity on 0-100 VAS at 3 months. In the null model the ICC was 0.007 (95%CI: 0.005, 0.009), which changed little after adjusting for patient- and therapist-level covariates. Upper confidence limits for ICC estimates across all secondary outcomes in multiply imputed and complete case analyses were less than 0.03. ConclusionsIn a nationally implemented osteoarthritis management program delivered by trained healthcare professionals, therapist effects made a minimal contribution to variation in patient outcomes. KEY MESSAGESO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABS Therapist effects - defined as the effect of a given therapist on patient outcomes as compared to another therapist - have been observed in several fields of healthcare and have important consequences for selection, training, and service improvement. In musculoskeletal rehabilitation five previous studies suggest that 1-12% of variation in patient-reported outcomes may be attributable to therapist effects, but these estimates were based on relatively small datasets resulting in substantial uncertainty. What this study addsOur cohort study analysed registry data from 2014-2019 on 23,021 patients and 647 trained therapists from the nationally implemented GLA:D structured osteoarthritis management program in Denmark. We found that therapist effects accounted for less than 3% of total variation in patient-reported pain and quality of life outcomes 3 months after beginning the program How this study might affect research, practice, or policyOur findings suggest that contextual factors that relate to therapist effects - therapist characteristics or therapist-patient interaction and alliance - make a minimal contribution to variation in patient outcomes from this structured, group-based rehabilitation intervention. Any contextual effects must be attributable to alternative sources, e.g. patient expectations, intervention setting.
Tan, X.; Danka, M. N.; Urbanski, S.; Kitsawat, P.; McElvaney, T. J.; Jundi, S.; Porter, L.; Gericke, C.
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Background: Lung cancer screening can reduce lung cancer mortality through early detection, but uptake of the NHS Targeted Lung Health Check (TLHC) programme remains low. Behaviourally informed invitation messages have been proposed as a low-cost approach to increase attendance, but evidence of their effectiveness in lung cancer screening is mixed. Few intervention studies used evidence-based behaviour change frameworks, and rarely tailored invitation strategies to empirically identified barriers and enablers. Methods: In an online experiment, 3,274 adults aged 55-74 years and with a history of smoking were randomised to see one of four behaviourally informed invitation messages or a control message. Participants then rated their intention to attend a TLHC appointment, and selected barriers and enablers to attending from a pre-defined list, which were classified according to the Theoretical Domains Framework. Invitation messages were mapped to Behaviour Change Techniques using the Theory and Techniques Tool. Message conditions were compared on intention to attend TLHC using bootstrapped ANOVA followed by pairwise comparisons. Exploratory counterfactual mediation analyses examined the role of fear in intention to attend. Results: Behaviourally informed invitation messages did not meaningfully increase intention to attend TLHC compared with the control message. While a GP-endorsed message showed a small potential benefit relative to the other conditions, this finding was not robust after adjustment for multiple comparisons. Participants most frequently reported barriers related to Emotion (particularly fear), Social Influence, and Knowledge, while Beliefs about Consequences emerged as the primary enabler of attendance. Only around half of reported barriers and enablers were addressed by the invitation messages. Exploratory analyses found that fear was associated with lower intention to attend a TLHC appointment, yet none of the behaviourally informed messages appeared to reduce fear compared to the control message. Conclusions: Improving lung cancer screening uptake will likely require invitation messages that directly address emotional concerns, particularly fear, alongside credible recommendations. These findings highlight the importance of systematically aligning invitation message content with empirically identified behavioural influences when designing scalable interventions to improve lung cancer screening uptake.
Pasin, C.; Jackson, S. S.; Thynne, L.-E.; McWade, B.; Westerman, T.; Ball, R.; Kavanagh, J.; O'Callaghan, S.; Ring, K.; Orkin, C.; Berner, A. M.
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ObjectivesTo estimate current, and 5- and 10-year projected, number of cases of cancer per year in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England, overall and by tumour type, accounting for uptake of gender affirming care (GAC). DesignPopulation-based epidemiological modelling study using an age-stratified Monte Carlo simulations approach and the NORDPRED method for predictions. SettingModels estimating cancer case numbers for TGD people in England based on publicly available 2023 cancer surveillance data and survey-based 2025 GAC access, and predicted at 5 and 10 years hence. ParticipantsTGD people aged 15 years and above. Main outcome measuresPrimary cancer cases per year overall, by gender, age group, tumour type, and current and planned GAC. ResultsThe estimated TGD population size in England is 441547 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 429207- 452890). Total cases per year of cancer in TGD people is expected to be 966 (95% UI 882-1069) excluding non-melanoma skin. Most cases are expected to occur in people aged 60-64. The top 5 expected cancers in TGD people are breast (19%, n = 187, 95% UI 149-241), colorectal (12%, n = 117, 95% UI 106-129), lung (11%, n = 108, 95% UI 96-122), melanoma (7.1%, n = 69, 95% UI 64-74) and urinary (6.2%, n = 60, 95% UI 54-67). Total cases of cancer in TGD people are estimated to be 1740 (95% UI 1584-1934) in 5 years and 2258 (95% UI 2066-2507) in 10 years (excluding non-melanoma skin). If TGD people were able to access their planned level of GAC, this would reduce these figures to 1555 (95% CI 1386-1766) and 2012 (95% CI 1797-2282) respectively. ConclusionsThis study provides prediction of cancer cases in TGD people in England, supporting the planning of service provision and training. This is vital, as with increasing disclosure, and long wait times for GAC, cancer cases in TGD people are predicted to increase. Summary BoxesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSThe annual number of cases of cancer in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England is currently unknown as gender incongruence is not collected as part of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. Some gender-affirming care (GAC) interventions are known to modulate cancer risk. Use of testosterone and chest reconstruction for transmasculine people is known to reduce their incidence of breast cancer compared to cisgender women. Use of oestradiol alongside medical or surgical androgen suppression has been shown to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in transfeminine people while increasing their risk of breast cancer, compared to cisgender men. What this study addsThis study found that there are likely to be approximately 966 cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin) in TGD people per year in the UK. Though total annual cases of cancer in TGD people are expected to be 2258 in 10 years, improved access to gender-affirming care could reduce total cases to 2012 (a 11% reduction). These figures provide additional justification for funding to improve access to GAC via the National Health Service (NHS), as well as for training on the oncological needs of this population.
Lin, T.; Li, Y.; Huang, Z.; Gui, T. T.; Wang, W.; Guo, Y.
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Target trial emulation (TTE) offers a principled way to estimate treatment effects using real-world observational data, but analyses of time-varying treatment strategies remain vulnerable to immortal time bias. The clone-censor-weight (CCW) approach is increasingly used to address this problem, yet key aspects of its causal interpretation and implementation remain unclear. In this work, we emulate a target trial using electronic health records (EHRs) to compare completion of a 3-dose 9-valent human papillomavirus vaccination (HPV) series within 12 months versus remaining partially vaccinated among vaccine initiators. We link CCW to the classic potential outcome framework in causal inference, evaluate the role of different weighting mechanisms, and account for within-subject correlation induced by cloning using cluster-robust variance estimation. Our study provides practical guidance for applying CCW in real-world comparative effectiveness studies to address immortal time bias and supports more rigorous and interpretable treatment effect estimation in TTE.
ISMAIL, A. J.; MOETI, L.; DARKO, D. M.; WALKER, S.; SALEK, S.
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Background Regulatory inconsistency across African countries contributes to duplicative scientific assessments, prolonged approval timelines, and delayed access to essential medical products. To inform the operationalisation of the African Medicines Agency (AMA), the African Medicines Regulatory Harmonisation (AMRH) programme implemented Africa's first continental pilot study for the scientific evaluation and listing of human medicinal products. This study evaluates the pilot's procedural performance and examines how continental scientific opinions were translated into national regulatory decisions through reliance mechanisms. Methods and Findings A mixed-methods programme evaluation was conducted using regulatory datasets generated during the pilot study. Quantitative data included assessment timelines, GMP inspection outcomes and national post-listing regulatory actions. Retrospective qualitative thematic analysis was applied to governance documents and National Regulatory Authority (NRA) feedback to identify legal, institutional and procedural determinants influencing uptake. Of 64 expressions of interest, 24 products progressed to full evaluation and 12 received positive continental scientific opinions. Ten met the predefined performance target of [≤]210 working days. Twenty-four GMP inspections identified no critical deficiencies and aligned with global regulatory benchmarks. National uptake demonstrated active reliance: full reliance (continental opinion as primary basis for national approval) for 7 products (58%); sequential reliance (continental assessment supplemented with targeted national queries) for 3 products (25%); and supplemented national review (separate national assessment undertaken) for 2 products (17%). Products with broader market strategies achieved registration in up to 23 African countries within a median of 77 working days post-listing. Variability in uptake reflected national legal authority, administrative requirements, and applicant submission strategies Conclusions The pilot study demonstrates the feasibility of a continent-wide regulatory assessment mechanism capable of producing trusted scientific outputs and enabling reliance-based national decision-making in Africa. While reliance was widely applied, heterogeneity in national procedures and administrative sequencing affected time to national registration. Findings provide empirical evidence to inform the AMA scale-up, highlighting the need for harmonised reliance pathways, streamlined administrative processes, and coordinated digital regulatory infrastructure.
Haug, M.; Ilves, N.; Umov, N.; Loorents, H.; Suvalov, H.; Tamm, S.; Oja, M.; Reisberg, S.; Vilo, J.; Kolde, R.
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Abstract Objective To address the unresolved bottleneck of selecting cohort-relevant clinical concepts for treatment trajectory analysis in observational health data, we introduce CohortContrast, an OMOP-compatible R package for enrichment-based concept identification, temporal and semantic noise reduction, and concept aggregation, enabling cohort-level characterization and downstream trajectory analysis. Materials and Methods We developed CohortContrast and applied it to OMOP-mapped observational data from the Estonian nationwide OPTIMA database, which includes all cases of lung, breast, and prostate cancer, focusing here on lung and prostate cancer cohorts. The workflow combines target-control statistical enrichment, temporal/global noise filtering, hierarchical concept aggregation and correlation-based merging, with optional patient clustering for downstream trajectory exploration. We validated the approach with a clinician-based plausibility assessment of extracted diagnosis-concept pairs and evaluated a large language model (LLM) as an auxiliary filtering step. Results We analyzed 7,579 lung cancer and 11,547 prostate cancer patients. The workflow reduced concept dimensionality from 5,793 to 296 concepts (94.9%) in lung cancer and from 5,759 to 170 concepts (97.0%) in prostate cancer, and identified three exploratory patient subgroups in both cohorts. In a plausibility assessment of 466 diagnosis-concept pairs, validators rated 31.3% as directly linked and 57.5% as indirectly linked. Discussion CohortContrast reduces manual concept curation by prioritizing and aggregating cohort-relevant concepts while preserving clinically interpretable treatment patterns in OMOP-based real-world data. Conclusion CohortContrast enables scalable reduction of broad OMOP concept spaces into clinically interpretable, cohort-specific representations for exploratory trajectory analysis and real-world evidence research.
Kim, S.; Guo, Y.; Sutari, S.; Chow, E.; Tam, S.; Perret, D.; Pandita, D.; Zheng, K.
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Social determinants of health (SDoH) are important for clinical care, but it remains unclear how much AI-captured social context is preserved after clinician editing in ambient documentation workflows. We retrospectively analyzed 75,133 paired ambient AI-drafted and clinician-finalized note sections from ambulatory care at a large academic health system. Using a rule-based NLP pipeline, we extracted 21 SDoH categories and quantified retention, deletion, and addition. SDoH appeared in 25.2% of AI drafts versus 17.2% of final notes. At the mention level, AI captured 29,991 SDoH mentions, of which 45.1% were deleted, 54.9% were retained with clinicians adding 3,583 new mentions. Insurance and marital status were most often deleted, whereas substance use and physical activity were more often retained. Deletion patterns also varied by specialty, supporting the need for specialty-aware ambient AI systems.
Reisberg, S.; Oja, M.; Mooses, K.; Tamm, S.; Sild, A.; Talvik, H.-A.; Laur, S.; Kolde, R.; Vilo, J.
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Background: The increasing availability of routinely collected health data offers new opportunities for population-level research, yet access to comprehensive, linked, and standardised datasets remains limited. We describe EST-Health-30, a large-scale, population-representative health data resource from Estonia. Methods: EST-Health-30 comprises a random 30% sample of the Estonian population (~500,000 individuals), with longitudinal data from 2012 to 2024 and annual updates planned through 2026. Individual-level records are linked across five nationwide databases, including electronic health records, health insurance claims, prescription data, cancer registry, and cause of death records. A privacy-preserving hashing approach ensures consistent cohort inclusion over time while maintaining pseudonymisation. All data are harmonised to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model (version 5.4) using international standard vocabularies. Data quality was assessed using established OMOP-based validation frameworks. Results: The dataset contains rich multimodal information on diagnoses, procedures, laboratory measurements, prescriptions, free-text clinical notes, healthcare utilisation, and costs, with high population coverage and longitudinal depth. Data quality assessment showed high completeness and consistency, with 99.2% of applicable checks passing. The age-sex distribution closely reflects the national population, supporting representativeness, though coverage is marginally below the target 30% (29.2%), primarily attributable to recent immigrants without health system contact. The dataset enables construction of detailed clinical cohorts, analysis of disease trajectories, and evaluation of healthcare utilisation and outcomes across the life course. Conclusions: EST-Health-30 is a comprehensive, standardised, and population-representative real-world data resource that supports epidemiological, clinical, and methodological research. Its alignment with the OMOP CDM facilitates reproducible analytics and participation in international federated research networks, while secure access infrastructure ensures compliance with data protection regulations.
Bui, L. V.; Nguyen, D. N.
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Background. Vietnam's disease burden has shifted from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but the tempo, drivers, and regional positioning of this transition have not been jointly quantified. We characterised Vietnam's epidemiological transition 1990-2023 against ten Southeast-Asian (SEA) peers. Methods. Using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data, we computed joinpoint-regression AAPC with 95% CI (BIC-penalised, up to three break-points) for age-standardised DALY rates and cause-composition shares. We applied Das Gupta three-factor decomposition to 1990-2023 absolute DALY change (population-size, age-structure, age-specific-rate effects) and benchmarked Vietnam's NCD share against an SDI-conditional peer trajectory via leave-one-out quadratic regression. Premature mortality was quantified as WHO 30q70 under both broad NCD and strict SDG 3.4.1 definitions, using Chiang II life-table adjustment identically across all eleven countries. Findings. The CMNN age-standardised DALY rate fell from 13,295.9 to 4,022.1 per 100,000 (AAPC -4.63%/year; 95% CI -4.80 to -4.46); the NCD rate fell only from 21,688.2 to 19,282.8 (AAPC -0.37; -0.45 to -0.30). NCD share of total DALYs rose from 52.99% to 70.67% (+17.67 pp; AAPC +1.09). Vietnam ranked fourth of eleven SEA countries in 2023 (up from sixth in 1990) and sat 5.3% above the SDI-expected trajectory. Das Gupta decomposition attributed the +10.63 million NCD DALY increase to population growth (+6.26 M) and ageing (+6.08 M); rate change removed only 1.71 M. Premature NCD mortality fell from 25.02% to 21.80% (broad, 12.9% reduction) and from 22.17% to 19.50% (SDG 3.4.1, 12.0%; Vietnam sixth of eleven) - far short of the SDG 3.4 one-third-reduction target. Interpretation. Vietnam has entered a disability- and ageing-dominated NCD phase. Meeting SDG 3.4 by 2030 requires population-scale primary prevention sized to demographic momentum.
Nkosi-Mjadu, B. E.
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BackgroundSouth Africas public healthcare system serves most of the population through approximately 3,900 primary healthcare clinics characterised by long waiting times and high volumes of repeat-prescription visits. No published pre-arrival digital triage system operates across all 11 official South African languages while aligning with the South African Triage Scale (SATS). This paper reports the design and preliminary safety validation of BIZUSIZO, a hybrid deterministic-AI WhatsApp triage system. MethodsBIZUSIZO delivers SATS-aligned triage via WhatsApp, combining AI-assisted free-text classification (Claude Haiku 4.5) with a Deterministic Clinical Safety Layer (DCSL) that overrides AI output for 53 clinical discriminator categories (14 RED, 19 ORANGE, 20 YELLOW) coded in all 11 official languages and independent of AI availability. A five-domain risk factor assessment can only upgrade triage level. One hundred and twenty clinical vignettes in patient language (English, isiZulu, isiXhosa, Afrikaans; 30 per language) were scored against a developer-assigned gold standard with independent blinded nurse review. A 121-vignette multilingual DCSL safety consistency check across all 11 languages and a 220-call post-hoc framing sensitivity evaluation (110 paired vignettes) were also conducted. ResultsUnder-triage was 3.3% (4/120; 95% CI: 0.9%-8.3%) with no RED under-triage; exact concordance was 80.0% (96/120) and quadratic weighted kappa 0.891 (95% CI: 0.827-0.932). One two-level under-triage was observed on a non-RED presentation (V072, isiXhosa burns vignette, ORANGEGREEN); one two-level over-triage was observed (V054, isiZulu deep laceration, YELLOWRED). In the framing sensitivity evaluation, AI-only classification achieved 50.9% RED invariance under adversarial framing; full-pipeline classification achieved 95.0% in four validated languages, with the DCSL rescuing 18 of 23 AI drift cases. ConclusionsA hybrid deterministic-AI triage system with DCSL-based emergency detection achieved zero RED under-triage and consistent RED detection across all 11 official languages. The 16.7% over-triage rate falls within published South African SATS ranges (13.1-49%). A single two-level under-triage event was observed on an isiXhosa burns vignette (ORANGEGREEN) and is discussed in Limitations. Findings are preliminary; prospective validation against independent nurse triage is the necessary next step.
Ferguson, D. J.
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BackgroundClinical pharmacists, trainees, and educators rely on multi-database literature retrieval and structured evidence synthesis to answer drug-information questions. Existing workflows require navigation across PubMed, DailyMed, LactMed, interaction checkers, and specialty guideline repositories with manual de-duplication, appraisal, and synthesis. Commercial platforms that integrate these functions are costly and often unavailable in community, rural, and international training contexts. ObjectiveThis report describes the architecture of AuditMed, a single-file, browser-based clinical evidence audit platform, and reports preliminary stress-test results against a complex multi-morbidity case corpus. AuditMed is intended for research and educational use and is not a substitute for clinical judgment or validated commercial clinical decision-support systems. MethodsAuditMed integrates nineteen free, publicly available clinical and biomedical application programming interfaces into a six-stage Search [->] Select [->] Parse [->] Analyze [->] Infer [->] Create pipeline and supports browser-local patient-case ingestion with regex-based HIPAA Safe Harbor de-identification. Preliminary stress-testing was conducted against eleven cases (Cases 30 through 40) from the Complex Clinical Case Compendium Software Validation Suite, each featuring over twenty concurrent active disease states. For each case, the one-click inference pipeline was executed with default settings and the full Clinical Inference Report was captured verbatim. No retrieval-sensitivity, synthesis-fidelity, or time-to-answer endpoints were pre-specified; the exercise was qualitative and oriented toward pipeline behavior under extreme multi-morbidity. ResultsThe pipeline completed without fatal errors for all eleven cases and produced a structured Clinical Inference Report in each instance. Quantitative-finding detection performed as designed for hematologic parameters and cardiac biomarkers. Two parser defects were identified and are reproduced in the appendix: an age-as-fever regex-precedence defect affecting seven cases and a diagnosis-versus-medication parsing defect affecting one case. Evidence-linkage rate varied from zero evidence-linked statements in seven cases to eleven in one case, reflecting dependence of the inference layer on MeSH-indexed literature coverage of the specific case diagnoses. ConclusionsAuditMed is an early-stage, open-source platform whose value at this stage is in providing a free, transparent, auditable workflow for multi-source evidence synthesis with explicit uncertainty flagging. The preliminary results document both robust end-to-end completion under extreme case complexity and specific, reproducible parser defects that will be addressed before formal evaluation. Planned evaluation studies are described.
Preston, J. D.; Abadiotakis, H.; Tang, A.; Rust, C. J.; Halkos, M. E.; Daneshmand, M. A.; Chan, J. L.
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Clinical research dissemination is frequently hindered by administrative friction and methodological inconsistency. To address these barriers, we developed TernTables, a freely available, open-source web application (https://www.tern-tables.com/) and R package (https://cran.r-project.org/package=TernTables) that streamlines the transition from raw data to formatted results for descriptive and univariate clinical reporting. The system integrates a client-side screening protocol for protected health information (PHI) with a rule-based decision tree that selects and executes appropriate frequency-based, parametric, or non-parametric statistical tests based on data distribution and class. TernTables generates publication-ready summary tables in Microsoft Word format, complemented by dynamically generated methods text and the underlying R code to ensure complete transparency and reproducibility. Validation using a landmark clinical trial dataset demonstrated concordance with established biostatistical approaches for descriptive and univariate analyses. TernTables is designed to supplement, not replace, formal statistical consultation by standardizing routine descriptive and univariate workflows, allowing biostatistical expertise to be focused on complex analyses and study design. By lowering technical and financial barriers, the platform democratizes access to rigorous statistical workflows while maintaining methodological excellence and reducing "researcher degrees of freedom."
Franzese, F.; Bergmann, M.; Burzynska, A.
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Socioeconomic inequalities in health and well-being are a major public health concern, particularly in ageing populations. Education is a key determinant shaping multiple aspects of health outcomes. We used cross-sectional data from wave 9 of the German sample (n=4,148) of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to test whether formal education is associated with well-being in later adulthood, with health literacy, self-rated health, and preventive health behaviours as possible mediators. Our results showed that education was positively associated with greater well-being, but only via indirect pathways. Specifically, self-rated health, health literacy, and fruit and vegetable consumption mediated the relationship between education and well-being accounting for 54.7, 24.7, and 12.6 percent of the total effect, respectively. In addition, there were significant positive correlations between education and health literacy, as well as high-intensity physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable consumption, more preventive health check-ups, and less smoking. In contrast, alcohol consumption was more common among those with higher levels of education. All health behaviours and health literacy were correlated directly or indirectly (i.e., mediated by health) with well-being. These findings highlight the importance of examining indirect pathways linking education to well-being in later life. Interventions aimed at improving health literacy and promoting healthy behaviours may help reduce educational inequalities in quality of life among older adults.
Ytsma, C. R.; Torralbo, A.; Fitzpatrick, N. K.; Pietzner, M.; Louloudis, I.; Nguyen, D.; Ansarey, S.; Denaxas, S.
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Objective The aim of this study was to develop and validate an automated, scalable framework to harmonise fragmented UK primary care prescription records into a research-ready dataset by mapping four diverse medical ontologies to a unified, historically comprehensive reference standard. Materials and Methods We used raw prescription records for consented participants in the UK Biobank, in which participants are uniquely characterized by multiple data modalities. Primary care data were preprocessed by selecting one drug code if multiple were recorded, cleaning codes to match reference presentations, expanding code granularity based on drug descriptions, and updating outdated codes to a single reference version. Harmonisation entailed mapping British National Formulary (BNF) and Read2 codes to dm+d, the universal NHS standard vocabulary for uniquely identifying and prescribing medicines. Harmonised dm+d records were then homogenised to a single concept granularity, the Virtual Medicinal Product (VMP). We validated our methods by creating medication profiles mapping contemporary drug prescribing patterns in 312 physical and mental health conditions. Results We preprocessed 57,659,844 records (100%) from 221,868 participants (100%). Of those, 48,950 records were dropped due to lack of drug code. 7,357,572 records (13%) used multiple ontologies. Most (76%) records were encoded in BNF and most had the code granularity expanded via the drug description (N=28,034,282; 49%). 41,244,315 records (72%) were harmonised to dm+d and 99.98% of these were converted to VMP as a homogeneous dataset. Across 312 diseases, we identified 23,352 disease-drug associations with 237 medications (represented as BNF subparagraphs) that survived statistical correction of which most resembled drug - indication pairs. Conclusion Our methodology converts highly fragmented and raw prescription records with inconsistent data quality into a streamlined, enriched dataset at a single reference, version, and granularity of information. Harmonised prescription records can be easily utilised by researchers to perform large-scale analyses in research.
Li, N.
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BackgroundMindfulness-based interventions (MBIs) have been increasingly adopted in educational settings to support cognitive development in youth. Executive function (EF)--encompassing inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility--is a plausible target of MBI given its reliance on attention regulation. However, prior reviews have yielded mixed conclusions, partly due to inconsistent construct definitions and the pooling of heterogeneous outcome measures. ObjectivesTo (1) estimate the pooled effect of MBI on EF in youth aged 3-18 years using only construct-validated, direct EF measures, (2) examine potential moderators including age group, EF domain, and risk of bias, and (3) test dose-response relationships via meta-regression on intervention duration. MethodsWe searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2026, supplemented by reference-list searches from two existing systematic reviews and a scoping review. Only English-language publications were eligible. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or quasi-RCTs of MBI (excluding yoga-only interventions) in typically developing youth, with at least one direct behavioural or computerised EF outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB 2. Hedges g was computed for each study, and pooled using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. Subgroup analyses by age group, EF domain, and risk of bias were conducted, alongside leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, Eggers regression test, trim-and-fill, and Knapp-Hartung-adjusted meta-regression on intervention duration. Evidence certainty was rated using GRADE. ResultsThirteen RCTs (nine school-age, four preschool; total N = 1,560) met inclusion criteria. The pooled effect was g = 0.365 (95% CI 0.264 to 0.465; p < .00001), with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%; Q = 6.76, p = .87). Effects were consistent across age groups (school-age g = 0.389; preschool g = 0.318) and EF domains (inhibitory control, working memory, cognitive flexibility; pbetween = .60). Meta-regression on intervention duration (4-20 weeks) was non-significant (p = .79). The effect was robust in leave-one-out analyses, in the low risk-of-bias subgroup (g = 0.361; k = 8), and after trim-and-fill adjustment (g = 0.354). The 95% prediction interval (0.252 to 0.477) was entirely positive. GRADE certainty was rated MODERATE, downgraded once for risk of bias. ConclusionsMBIs appear to produce a small, statistically significant improvement in EF in youth aged 3-18 years, with moderate certainty of evidence per the GRADE framework. The effect is consistent across preschool and school-age samples and across EF domains, with no significant dose-response relationship within the 4-20 week range studied. Emerging mediation evidence suggests that EF improvement may serve as an important pathway through which MBI supports emotion regulation, though this requires replication. Further large-scale, pre-registered RCTs with active control conditions and longitudinal follow-up are warranted.
Kamulegeya, R.; Nabatanzi, R.; Semugenze, D.; Mugala, F.; Takuwa, M.; Nasinghe, E.; Musinguzi, D.; Namiiro, S.; Katumba, A.; Ssengooba, W.; Nakatumba-Nabende, J.; Kivunike, F. N.; Kateete, D. P.
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of infectious disease mortality worldwide, and treatment failure contributes to ongoing transmission, drug resistance, and poor clinical outcomes. Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches have attracted growing interest for predicting tuberculosis treatment outcomes, but the literature is heterogeneous and lacks a comprehensive synthesis. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies that developed or validated machine learning models to predict TB treatment failure. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from January 2000 to October 2025. Studies were eligible if they developed, validated, or implemented an artificial intelligence or machine learning model for the prediction of TB treatment failure or a closely related poor outcome in patients receiving anti-TB treatment. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool area under the curve values, with subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore heterogeneity. ResultsThirty-four studies were included in the systematic review, of which 19 reported area under the curve values suitable for meta-analysis (total participants, 100,790). Studies were published between 2014 and 2025, with 91% published from 2019 onward. Tree-based methods were the most common algorithm family (52.9%), and multimodal models integrating three or more data types were used in 41.2% of studies. The pooled area under the curve was 0.836 (95% confidence interval 0.799-0.868), with substantial heterogeneity (I{superscript 2} = 97.9%). In subgroup analyses, studies including HIV-positive participants showed lower discrimination (pooled area under the curve 0.748) compared to those excluding them (0.924). Only eight studies (23.5%) performed external validation, and only one study (2.9%) was rated as low risk of bias overall, primarily due to methodological concerns in the analysis domain. Eggers test suggested publication bias (p = 0.024). Major evidence gaps included underrepresentation of high-burden countries, HIV-affected populations, social determinants, pediatric TB, and extrapulmonary disease. ConclusionsMachine learning models for predicting TB treatment failure show promising discrimination but are not yet ready for routine clinical implementation. Performance varies substantially across populations and settings, and methodological limitations, including inadequate validation, poor calibration assessment, and high risk of bias, limit confidence in current estimates. Future research should prioritize rigorous external validation, calibration assessment, and development in underrepresented populations, particularly HIV-affected and high-burden settings. Author SummaryTB kills over a million people annually. While curable, treatment failure remains common and drives ongoing transmission and drug resistance. Researchers increasingly use artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict which patients will fail treatment, but it is unclear if these models are ready for clinical use. We reviewed 34 studies including nearly 1.1 million participants from 22 countries. On average, models correctly distinguished patients who would fail treatment from those who would not 84% of the time, a performance generally considered good. However, this average hid enormous variation. Models developed in populations including HIV-positive people performed substantially worse, suggesting prediction is harder with HIV co-infection. Worryingly, only one study used high-quality methods; 97% had serious flaws in handling missing data, checking calibration, or testing in new populations. Only eight studies validated their models in different settings. To conclude, we found that machine learning is promising in predicting TB treatment failure, but it is not ready for clinical use. Researchers should prioritize validation in high-burden settings, include social determinants, and improve methodological rigor before these tools can help patients.
Lafaurie, M. M.; Vargas-Escobar, L. M.; Gonzalez, M. C.; Rengifo, H. A.
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Recognizing the challenges faced by primary caregivers regarding the health of children with congenital craniofacial anomalies (CCAs) contributes to strengthening healthcare programs according to patient[s] and families differential needs. This qualitative study presents the experiences of 25 caregivers of children with CCAs from Bogota and Cali, Colombia, identified from care registries and consultation statistics provideed from public high-complexity healthcare institutions. Grounded in Giorgis descriptive phenomenology and employing thematic analysis, this research utilized semi-structured interviews and focus groups to explore the diagnostic process and its impact, experiences with healthcare services, and the caregivers role and daily care activities. Data were analyzed using MAXQDA(R) qualitative software. Findings highlighted the emotional complexity of caring for childre[n]s health. Challenges included late diagnoses, pessimistic views of the children with CCAs condition by healthcare team members; lack of effective support, information, and guidance from health staff; absence of clear care and referral protocols, and limited access to specific adaptations and timely specialized care for children with CCAs. There were also reduced therapeutic services, and a pronounced gendered caregiving burden when responsibilities fall almost exclusively on mothers. System fragmentation, reflected in deficiencies in communication and a lack of clear, coordinated, and timely pathways of care, as well as the absence of adequate psychosocial support for families, emerged as common structural problems in healthcare services in both geographic settings where this research has been conducted. Gender-sensitive strategies focused on alleviating emotional concerns and the burden of caregiving from diagnosis onward within a patient and family-centered care model are decisive. Improving comprehensive CCAs training for healthcare personnel and making adjustments to care pathways are suggested to contribute to the implementation of inclusive health programs that address the diverse needs of children and their families.
Dornisch, A.; Rojo Domingo, M.; Alexander, R. V.; Conlin, C. C.; Do, S.; McKay, R. R.; Moiseenko, V.; Liss, M. A.; Liu, J.; Pawlicki, T.; Pena, S.; Qiao, E. M.; Rose, B. S.; Rupareliya, R.; Sandhu, A. P.; Scholey, J.; Seyedin, S. N.; Urbanic, J. J.; Wei, L.-J.; Seibert, T. M.
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Definitive radiotherapy (RT) for prostate cancer (PC) with dose intensification and/or focal boosting has excellent oncologic outcomes, but many patients experience adverse events. Dose escalation to the whole prostate improves outcomes at the expense of increased late adverse events. Intraprostatic recurrence after definitive RT typically occurs at the site of the primary tumor, suggesting that dose to the site of the dominant lesion is an important predictor of future failure. The efficacy and safety of tumor-focused RT compared to that of standard RT for definitive treatment of localized PC has not been assessed. RadTARGET (RAdiation Dose TAiloRing Guided by Enhanced Targeting) is a phase II randomized trial that aims to demonstrate superior safety of image-guided, tumor-focused RT compared to standard RT for acute genitourinary (GU) or gastrointestinal (GI) in the setting of definitive RT for intermediate- and high-risk PC. The study intervention is image-guided, tumor-focused RT with dose intensification of cancer visible on imaging and dose de-intensification to remaining prostate. Patients will be randomized to two arms: those who receive standard RT dose and those that receive tumor-focused RT. The study population will be patients with intermediate- or high-risk PC planning to undergo definitive RT with or without systemic therapy. The primary endpoint to compare between randomized arms is acute GU or GI grade [≥]2 adverse events. Participant and study duration are 5 years and 8 years, respectively. RadTARGET will compare the efficacy and safety of tumor-focused RT to that of standard RT for definitive treatment of localized PC. We hypothesize that the tumor-focused approach will substantially reduce adverse events after prostate RT while retaining high efficacy. If this hypothesis is confirmed, we will conclude that a phase III randomized control trial is warranted to formally establish oncologic non-inferiority compared to the current standard of whole-gland dose escalation.
Wen, J.; Anteneh, Z.; Castelli, A.; Street, A.; Gutacker, N.; Scantlebury, A.; Glerum-Brooks, K.; Davies, S.; Bloor, K.; Rangan, A.; Castro Avila, A.; Lampard, P.; Adamson, J.; Sivey, P.
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ObjectivesTo evaluate the effect of surgical hubs on the volume of surgeries, patient waiting times, and length of hospital stay for elective hip and knee replacements in the English NHS. DesignA retrospective longitudinal study using a difference-in-differences approach to compare changes in outcomes at NHS trusts that opened surgical hubs with those that did not. SettingThe study was set in the English NHS, using administrative data from NHS acute trusts providing elective hip and knee replacements between April 2014 and September 2024. ParticipantsThe study included 76 NHS trusts. The treatment group consisted of 29 trusts that opened a surgical hub for trauma and orthopaedic surgery during the study period. The control group consisted of 47 trusts that did not. 48 trusts that performed fewer than 1,000 relevant procedures over the ten-year period or that reported data for fewer than 41 of the 42 quarters in the sample period were excluded. InterventionThe phased introduction of surgical hubs dedicated to elective procedures at 29 NHS trusts between Q1 2020 and Q3 2024. Main outcome measuresThe three main outcomes were, measured at the trust-quarter level: the total number of elective primary hip and knee replacements (surgical volume), the average length of stay in hospital, and the average waiting time from being added to the waiting list to hospital admission. ResultsThe opening of a surgical hub was associated with an increase of 43.75 hip and knee replacement surgeries per quarter (95% CI: 22.22 to 65.28), which represents a 19.1% increase compared to the pre-hub mean. Length of stay was reduced by 0.32 days (95% CI: - 0.48 to -0.16), a 7.8% reduction. There was no statistically significant effect on average waiting times (-14.96 days, 95% CI: -33.11 to 3.19). ConclusionsSurgical hubs appear to be effective at increasing the number of hip and knee replacements and reducing the time patients spend in hospital. However, in this study, they did not lead to a statistically significant reduction in waiting times overall.
Hassani, A.; Pecar, K.; Soliman, M.; Bunyon, P.; Ellinger, C.; Tulysewskid, G.; Croft, J.; Carillo, C.; Wewegama, G.; du Plessis-Schneider, S.; Estevez, J. J.
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Background Individuals experiencing or at risk of homelessness face substantial barriers to preventive eye care that are poorly addressed by standard service models. Interdisciplinary optometry-social work collaboration offers a rights-based approach to improving engagement and continuity of care. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study was conducted between February and August 2024 at a multidisciplinary community centre. Clients experiencing or at risk of homelessness received integrated optometry and social work assessment and were prioritised as high, medium, or low based on combined clinical and social risk. Social work follow-up was guided by the Triple Mandate and W-Questions framework. Quantitative data were summarised using mean (SD), median [IQR], or n (%). Qualitative case notes were analysed using content analysis with inductive coding and secondary review for consistency. Results A total of 165 clients had priority categories coded (high: 68; medium: 47; low: 154). Demographic data were available for 132 clients (60% male; mean age 49.5 years [SD 16]); 27% had not completed high school, 89% reported weekly income below AUD 1000, and 28% had vision impairment. Two hundred forty-five case-note entries were consolidated into 146 unique records. SMS (46%) and phone calls (38%) were the most documented contact methods, although only 21% of calls were answered; missed calls (13%) and disconnected numbers (7%) were common. Multi-modal contact was more frequently documented for higher-priority clients. Appointment assistance was the most recorded facilitator (71%), while rights-based supports, including interpreter and transport assistance, were infrequently documented (<=5%). Qualitative analysis identified unstable communication, reliance on informal supports, and service fragmentation as key influences on recall outcomes. Conclusion This study supports an interdisciplinary, rights-based optometry-social work model to address barriers to preventive eye care among people experiencing or at risk of homelessness. Embedding structured handovers and tiered recall processes within community-based services may strengthen continuity and accountability for high-priority clients. Future implementation should evaluate outcomes related to equity of reach, service integration, and sustained engagement in care.